Positive ROI Strategy

Today the positive ROI strategy—first discussed on the Philosophy page—was put to the test at Parx. It had a successful result in race three with Veblen Good, who won at nearly 10-1. The horse was the only one to have a positive expected ROI of +120%, other than Lendar at just +2%. All of the other horses had negative expected ROI. This illustrates how lopsided horse racing is, because of odds manipulation, unless you have the right tool to exploit the track’s weakness. The strategy was also applied in race 2 with Watch Your Words at 7-1, who was the only one among eight horses to have a positive expected ROI.  The horse came in a close second, losing by half a length.