On Feb. 19, the Handicap Wizard correctly predicted undefeated and Baffert trained, Heck Yeah (4-5), to win the $200K California Cup Derby at Santa Anita over 1 1/16 mi on dirt. In this race, as in the Holly Hughes stakes below, the model did exactly what it is programmed to do in picking a winner, who ranked highest in both metrics.
On Feb. 19, the Handicap Wizard nearly predicted the tri- and superfectas in the $200K California Oaks Cup at Santa Anita perfectly, if not for Pulpit Rider (3-1) upsetting the heavy favorite, One Fast Broad (3-5), over 1M on turf. The model had their order reversed for win and place. Otherwise, the program called XS Gold (7-1) and Mo See Call (9-1) for third and fourth correctly.
On Feb. 19, the Handicap Wizard correctly predicted My Boy Tate to win the Hollie Hughes Stakes in race 8 over 6f at Aqueduct. Odds were short for the horse at 1/2, paying $3.20 to win.
As a side note on the race, the track never showed the photo for the win between Snapper Sinclair and Bravazo. On the replay, they only showed the top view, but not the close-up view from the side.
The result today in Risen Star Stakes at the Fairgrounds was a bitter sweet one for the Handicap Wizard. While the two favorites of the model, Nobile Bird (5-2) and Instilled Regard (7-5), came in 3rd and 4th respectively, the program had both the winner and place finisher, Bravazo and Snapper Sinclair, in its top four, despite the tremendously long odds of these horses at 21-1 and 40-1. In other words, both a boxed tri-fecta and boxed superfecta bet on the four horses would have won, paying $845.00 for $0.50 for the tri-fecta and $418.28 for $.10 for the superfecta.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 