Day: May 6, 2018

Kentucky Derby Recap

The Handicap Wizard correctly predicted Justify to win the Kentucky Derby. Though not ranked top in winning percentage and class, because of having been lightly raced, his superior speed (33% winning estimate) propelled him to victory on the off-track at Churchill Downs on Saturday. Paying $7.80, the final odds on Justify were very close to the theoretical odds of just over 4-1. Good magic came in 2nd, who was highest in the winning percentage and class category. The model predicted Audible 3rd. This race illustrates the strength of the Handicap Wizard, which identified the top two finishers from both metrics and predicted the show horse in a twenty horse field.