By In race 9 at Parx today, a $7,500 claiming race at 1 mi. on the dirt, there was a textbook handicapping result, which illustrates well the value of the program. In a ten horse field the Handicap Wizard had Extrasexymazeratti rated highest with a 34.04% winning probability. This compared to post-time odds of 3-1, making the horse an underlay. Upon a closer look at its metrics, the horse showed superior final and late speed estimates of 53% and 78.3%, respectively. On a speed basis alone, the horse was fair valued at 1-1 or less. At the same time, the Coefficient of Variation (CV) associated with the final speed estimate was 4%, making the estimate very reliable. And this was exactly how the race went. After racing mid-pack at the quarter mile mark, Extrasexymazeratti turned it on to cut the lead down to four lengths from six by the half mile pole. The horse hit his stride for the rest of the race, flying by the leaders around the far turn before going on to win by four lengths. His late speed was the difference in the race. In addition to selecting the winning horse, the Handicap Wizard had the order of the superfecta correct with its top four selections.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 