Day: January 16, 2019

Race 3 at Tampa Bay, Jan. 16

The Handicap Wizard had a nice result in the early going today at Tampa Bay in race 3, a $32K optional claiming race for four-year olds and up at 1 mi 40y, with 10-1 Twocubunbrothers as its top selection with a total winning probability of 25%. The horse led until past the three-quarter pole, when it was overtaken by 5-2 Salsa’s Return, only to fight back to retake the lead before the wire. The market discounted the horse for its last race, when it posted a subpar 66 final speed figure. That was not a detracting factor for the Handicap Wizard, however, which takes all of a horse’s races into consideration. It judged the horse to have the most speed in the race with a winning speed estimate of 43%, making a significant underlay on that basis. Twocubunbrothers paid $23.80 for the win.