By In what was a difficult race to handicap, where no horse was assigned a probability higher than 20%, race 4 at Churchill—a $87K allowance race over 1 3/8 mi. on the turf for three-year olds and up—saw the Handicap Wizard hit the exacta straight with its selections of #2 Botswana and #8 Apreciado. Botswana was tied with Apreciado with the highest final speed estimate at 31%, but had the superior winning percentage of 20.5%. The LP advantage of Bluegrass Parkway was not enough, with Botswana holding off dual threats down the stretch to get the win. Botswana paid $10.40 and the $2 exacta paid $86.80.
In the following race, race 5 at Churchill, the Handicap Wizard hit the winner again with its top selection of #3 Chief-Know-It all at 2-1. He was at priced at a premium, having a winning probability of 25% (3-1 fair value) according to the program. Chief-Know-It-All paid $6.40.
Races 6 and 7 at Churchill also saw the Handicap Wizard’s top selection win. #5 D-Squared won in the 6th and #5 Conquest Windycity in the 7th.
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