By Race 6 at Churchill, an $89K optional claiming race at 5.5f for three-year olds on the turf, saw a good result today for the Handicap Wizard with its top selection of #4 Fast Boat, who went off at a discount at 8-1 versus a winning probability of 21%. That put his fair value odds closer to 4-1. In addition to having the high speed estimate in the field at 32% (despite a performance dip in his last race), Fast Boat‘s E1 and E2 estimates rated second best behind those of Johnny Obvious. In the race, Fast Boast stalked until the quarter pole, when he shot to the front and never looked back. The horse paid $19.20.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 