The program had a couple of successful results today at Belmont Park worth mentioning. In the 3rd, a $40K claiming race at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf for three-year olds, the top selection, #4 Appicator, went wire-to-wire in a win, upseting the live odds’ favorite, #7 Harv Won’t Tap at 2-1. The horse paid $9.10.
And in the 4th, an $80K optional claiming race at 6f on the turf for three-year olds, there was an opportunity not often seen in the odds, with several horses offering significant value due to the favorite, #8 Mutakativ, being ovebet at 1-1. One was #6 Discretionary Marquee with a winning probability of 13.6% versus 16-1 odds and another was #7 Banana Thief with a 16.8% winning probability versus 12-1 odds. That resulted in large expected ROI values for the horses of +131% and +118%. In the race, Discretionary Marque showed speed early on and held on doggedly to the end, while Banana Thief finished second. Discretionary Marque paid $34.80 for the win.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 