Month: July 2019

Free Selections for Sat., July 13

Here are the selections for the Indiana Oaks and Indiana Derby at Indiana Grand and the Ontario Matron Stakes at Woodbine, all on dirt. The fourth and fifth races are the G1 Diana Stakes at Saratoga and the Treasury Coast Stakes at Gulfstream on the turf. The turf model was used for those races.

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Gulfstream full selections with the 4.0 model.

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Saratoga

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Woodbine

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Belmont Stars and Striped, Sat., July 6

The Handicap Wizard had wins with its top selections in three out of the five stakes races at Belmont Park Today. In the Dwyer Stakes in the 5th, it had #3 Code Of Honor as its top choice, whose class with a 55.8% Winning Percentage versus 1-1 odds proved too much for the field. The same was true of #9 Promises Fulfilled in the John A. Nerud Stakes in the 8th, who went wire-to-wire in the win at 3-5. The program had its best result in the 10th in the $700K Suburban Stakes, where it had the exacta order correct with its top two selections in #2 Preservationalist at 7-2 and #1 Catholic Boy at 6-5. It nearly had the tri-fecta as well, with its 4th selection in #11 Pavel at 8-1 coming in third.

6th Race

8th Race

10th Race


9th Race

The most difficult race to handicap was the $1 million Belmont Derby Invitational in the 9th with 14 horses, run at 1 1/4 mi. on the turf. Despite long-shot #6 Henley’s Joy winning at 20-1, the forthcoming Handicap Wizard Turf program nearly had the winner with its 2nd selection #8 Social Paranoia at 16-1, who came in 2nd, while its 3rd selection in #13 Digital Age at 5-1 finished 4th. There was no data on #14 Rockemperor, who placed third, since he was a foreign horse from Ireland. The $2 exacta paid $663, while the $0.50 tri-fecta paid a whopping $2,225.25.

Race 7 at Gulfstream, Fri., July 5

One of the best results today for the Handicap Wizard was in the 7th race at Gulfstream, a $50K optional claiming race at 7 1/2f on the turf for three-year olds that had not won more than one race other than their maidens. Using the soon-to-be-introduced turf model, the top two selections were #7 Big Agenda at 2-1 odds versus its model winning probability of 23.5% and #5 Harley at 8-1 versus its winning probability 19.3%. #4 Justcallmenorman had been the market favorite just before post-time, before his odds settled at 5-2. In the race, Big Agenda and Harley stalked in the three and fourth positions until the half mile point, when they cruised past the leaders. Coming down the stretch, the two dueled together for most of the way, before Harley edged Big Agenda by a nose at the wire in a photo. Harley paid $18 for the win. The $2 exacta paid $95.40.