By One of the best handicapping results today in a graded stakes race was in race 8 at Saratoga, the G1 Longines Test, run at 7f on the dirt for three year-old fillies. The program had #1 Serengetti Empress as its top selection with a winning probability of 31.66% vs. odds 7-2 and #3 Covfefe second with a probability of 27.18% vs. odds of 3-1. Covfefe ranked 1st in terms of speed with a final speed estimate of 58.4%, while Serengetti Empress had the edge in class with a Winning Percentage, adjusted for stakes, of 33%. In the race, Serengetti Empress led through the opening quarter with Covfefe just behind her and it stayed that way to the stretch, when the horses dueled to the finish line. After two or three lead changes between the two, Brad Cox trained, Covfefe, prevailed, while Serengetti Empress came in second by a length and Bellafina at 3-1 finished third. The model nearly had the tri-fecta straight with its selections of #1, #3 and #2, despite British Invader, Royal Charlotte, receiving heavy money flows at 5-2.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 