Day: August 10, 2019

The Handicap Wizard Turf Program had the first and second place finishers in the Arlington Million, though in reverse order. #2 Magic Wand at 8-1 came out ahead with a 36.92% winning probability due to an advantage in the final winning speed estimate at 55.6%, while #3 Bricks and Mortar at 1-2 had a 30.9% winning probability, bolstered by a 51.2% Winning Percentage. Magic Wand trailed #10 Bandua and #5 Hunting Horn in third position for most of the race until the stretch, when he took the lead with under 1/2 furlong to go, only to be beaten by Bricks and Mortar at the wire.

Here is the full Arlington Million analysis.

ArlingtonMillionAnalysis

The Turf Program had a good result today in the 10th race at Arlington, the G1 $500K Secretariat Stakes, run at 1 mi. on the turf for three-year olds. The model had #4 The Last Zip at 27-1 as the top selection with a winning probability of 22.56%, followed by #7 Valid Point at 2-1 as the second selection with a 17.35% probability. In the race, The Last Zip led through the half mile and then as far as the stretch, before being overtaken by #2 Van Beethoven at 28-1 (a foreign horse with no data) and Valid Point, who charged down the center of the track to finish first. The Last Zip was third.