In today’s premier race at Keeneland, the Hagyard Fayette Stakes in the 9th at 1 1/8 mi. on dirt, the Handicap Wizard correctly predicted the winner with its top selection in #3 Tom’s D’Etat at 3-2. It also had the tri-fecta horses in its top four selections. Tom’s D’tat paid $5.00 to win and the $0.50 tri-fecta paid $19.75. Given that the four top horses had equal probabilities of about 17%, boxing all four horses in the tri-fecta was a sensible wager.
In the second stakes race at Belmont today in the 5th, the $200K Bold Ruler Handicap for three-years at 7f on the dirt, the Handicap Wizard correctly predicted the winner with its top selection of #1 Maximum Security at 3-5. He had a 53.6% winning probability according to the program. Maximum Security paid $3.20 for the win.
In the 5th race at Belmont, the $100K English Channel Stakes for three year-old on the turf at 1M, the Handicap Wizard Turf program correctly predicted #5 Seismic Wave to win as its top selection with a 22.3% winning probability. The horse came from behind down the stretch in the center to skate in before the wire. Seismic Wave paid $11.40 for the win and was the third favorite according to the odds.
There was a nice result today in the 2nd at Belmont for the Handicap Wizard, a $25K claiming race for fillies and mares at 6f on the dirt. #1 Walin Jose was the long-shot in the field at 30-1, yet had relatively strong E1, E2 and composite figures of 32.1%, 44.7% and a COMP of 28.1% according to the program, indicating strong value for that distance. In the race, #10 Wisconsin Night at 2-1 led until the quarter pole, before Walin Jose made a 5 wide bid in the center of the track to run down the field. Walin Jose paid $62 to win and the place paid $21.40. Trusting in the mathematics of the composite figure—the summation of E1, E2 and LP simulated—paid off well for Walie Jose.
The Handicap Wizard had some nice results today at Keeneland and Belmont. At Keeneland, the program had winners with its top selection in three out of six non-maiden races, including in the $500K G1 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup Stakes (G1) in the 9th race with #3 Cambier Parc. It also had the winner in the 1st with its close second selection in Zena Rules at 7-1. At Belmont, the program had winners in the 2nd, 3rd, 5th and 10th races or four out of seven non-maiden races. The Grey version was used for the dirt races and the Turf program for the turf races.
Keeneland Race 1
Keeneland Race 5
Keeneland Race 7
Keeneland Race 9
Belmont Race 2
Belmont Race 3
Belmont Race 5
Belmont Race 10
Pro-Handicap Analytics 