By An even better result for the program was in the 6th race at Santa Anita, the $1 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf at 1 mi. Despite odds of 55-1 and 67-1, #8 Billy Batts and #9 Gear Jockey were the two strongest horses according to the COMP estimate, with winning probabilities by that measure of 26.0% and 24.0% respectively. While Billy Batts was the top selection overall with a 15.2% total winning probability in this wide-open juvenile turf race, it turned out that Billy Batts and Gear Jockey had incredible value according to the COMP measure, which had their fair value around 3-1 each. In the race, Billy Batts led down the stretch, only to be edged at the wire by the winner, #2 Structor at 5-1. Gear Jockey surged late to take 3rd. The market was discounting their relative low winning percentages, when speed prevailed in this race.
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