Month: December 2019

In the first graded stakes races at Aqueduct today, the $150K Winter Memories Stakes, run at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf for three-year olds fillies, the Handicap Wizard had the winner with its top selection in #1 Feel Glorious (GB) at 8-5. The program had assigned the horse a total winning probability of 32.22%, which is close to where the she went off. In the race, Feel Glorious trailed the field while saving ground in the one path until the far turn, when she began to make her move. The horse had a burst of speed down the stretch, thanks to a 41.5% LP estimate, to overtake #11 Sorrentino Lemon to win by two lengths. Feel Glorious paid $5.40 for the win.

 

Today we have the G1 Cigar Mile and Kentucky Derby prep race, the G3 Remsen, for two-year olds at Aqueduct. The Cigar Mile features Kentucky Derby winner before the DQ, Maximum Security, who since May won the Haskell Invitational and the Bold Ruler as well as Spun to Run, winner of his last two, including the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile in November. Here are the Handicap Wizard’s projections for both races. Clicking on the images and then the link on the bottom right will bring them up full-size.

Cigar Mile

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Remsen

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The Handicap Wizard saw a good result at Aqueduct today right off the bat with #12 Lookbothways in a $40K maiden race at 6f off the turf for fillies and mares. At final odds of 4-1 the program assigned Lookbothways a 38.22% total winning probability, who had dominating SPD, E1 and E2 estimates of 48.9%, 59.6% and 52.7%, plus a 30.8% winning percentage. In the race, #6 Kathy’s Cause and Lookbothways ran side-by-side out of the gate before the latter took charge down the stretch to win by three lengths. Lookbothways paid $10.40 for the win.

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