By Here are the results of the $350K G2 Azeri Stakes for four-year-old fillies and mares and the $1 mil. G2 Rebel Stakes for three-year-olds at Oaklawn yesterday. The program had the winner of the Azeri with its top selection in Serengetti Empress at 9-5 versus a win probability of 41.02%. In the Rebel, the program had it as a close contest between #3 Basin at 9-2, #1 Nadal at 4-5 and #4 Silver Prospector at 4-1, all with win probabilities of around 22%. Nadal won, while Basin finished 3rd. In terms of valuation, Nadal was a good choice to win because of relatively strong speed metrics, particularly E1, E2 and COMP, and low risk but was arguably overbet at 4-5. On the replay, it appeared #2 Excession cut-off both #4 Silver Prospector and #6 Three Technique coming out of the far turn, but the Stewards did nothing about it, not even review the race.
Azeri Stakes
Rebel Stakes
Pro-Handicap Analytics 