Here is a good result today at Churchill in the 9th race, with the Turf Program hitting the exacta cold, despite #5 Front the Fed being heavily favored at 6-5 . The Handicap Wizard had Mr. Dumas first with a 19.43% win probability, followed by Ritz A.P second at 16.83% and Front the Fed third at 14.76%. #9 Mr. Dumas projected best in term of final speed with a 34.4% win estimate and #6 Ritz A.P second at 25.9%. That is how the order went (9,6). This race is a good example of how well the program can perform when the risk of the horses is lower. For this $80K optional claiming race, the Coefficient of Variance was just 6%, which is fairly low. The $2 exacta paid $54.80.


