By Here is an excellent result today at Parx in race 7, an $8K allowance race at 6f for three-year-olds. The program’s top three selections were #3 Royalty Salvatore, #8 Emperor John and #6 Old Faithful. That was the final order of the tri-fecta. With a 25% win probability, thanks to a 40.5% SPD and 28.9% and 54.6% E1 and E2 estimates, Royalty Salvatore was an underlay at 5-1 as a first selection, when his fair value was 3-1. The horse paid $12.80 for the win, while the tri-fecta paid $19.20 (at approx. 38-1 combined odds).
In the 9th race, a $8K claiming race at 5 1/2f for three-year-old fillies and mares, there were three favorites at 2-1 odds, including #1 Mess N’ Around, #2 Coupella and #8 Corn on the Cob. The first selection according to the program was #1 Mess N’ Around with a 30.77% win probability, who also had the highest SPD and LP win estimates at 36.0% and 51.7%. His LP strength was decisive, with Mess N’ Around surging down the stretch in the win. The horse paid $6.80.
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