Race 2 at Parx, Wed., July 15

Here is another good result in race 2 at Parx, a $21K claiming race at 1 1/8 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds an up. The program had #9 Alfred as the first selection with a 32% win probability, making it an underlay at 4-1 odds. The odds favorite was #4 Traffic Trouble at 1-1 with a 13.89% win probability, but had jockey and trainer win percentages of 21% and 21%, explaining its low odds. In the race, #7 Hazaspitten’ Image and #9 Alfred were in the first flight out of the gate and stalked from the 3rd and 4th positions on the back stretch. Alfred began making his move around the far turn and took the lead inside the final eighth, while Traffic Trouble surged on the inside. In the end, Alfred dug in and held on for the win. The race shows that even against a superior jockey and trainer, the horse with the best math for his own ability won. Exciting race!