Race 4 at Saratoga, Thurs., Aug 6

There was a good result today with an undervalued favorite in the Turf Program in race 4 at Saratoga, a $25K claiming race for three-year olds on the inner turf. With a total win probability of 30%, #12 Nutzforboltz was an underlay at 9-1 as a first selection, but had to contend with the odds favorite, #2 Catch a Cab at 1-1, who was the second selection  with 25.23% win probability. Playing it conservatively, Nutzforboltz could have been selected to place and would still have been an underlay. In the race, Nutzforboltz trailed the field in 2nd to last position through the back stretch. #2 Catch a Cab and #11 Good Ole Boy ran third and fourth around the far turn, finding running room on outside.  Nutzforboltz saved ground on the inside around the far turn before shooting through a seam in the middle of the track upon hitting the stretch. Down the stretch, Nutzforboltz then surged past Catch a Cab on the inside to come up for second, while Catch a Cab faded to fourth. Good Ole Boy ran on home for first. Nutzforboltz paid $9.70 to place and the $2 exacta (11-12), which the program had among its top three selections, paid $124.