The 4.1 Grey program had the winner with its top selection in the $500K Alabama in the 9th at Saratoga today, run at 1 1/4 mi. on the dirt for three-year old fillies. With a total win probability of 38.9%, thanks to a 55.3% SPD estimate and a 30.4% winning percentage, #5 Swiss Skydiver at 1-1 went wire-to-wire in the win. #4 Bonny South, who had the second highest winning percentage at 18.9%, finished second at 10-1. Swiss Skydiver paid $4.40.
There was a nice result in race 1 at Gulfstream today, run at 1 1/6 mi. on the turf for four-year olds. The Turf Program’s second selection in #5 Mustang Cat was an underlay and the most undervalued horse at 10-1 versus a total win probability of 17.16%, with an expected ROI of +89%. The horse was dominant in E1 and E2 with winning estimates of 59.4% and 45.5% and also had the highest COMP at 49%, yet the money line dismissed him at 15-1. In the race, Mustang Cat went wire to wire, holding off a late surge by the favorite #4 Keep Quiet at 7-5. Mustang Cat paid $22.00 for the win.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 