By There was a nice result in race 1 at Gulfstream today, run at 1 1/6 mi. on the turf for four-year olds. The Turf Program’s second selection in #5 Mustang Cat was an underlay and the most undervalued horse at 10-1 versus a total win probability of 17.16%, with an expected ROI of +89%. The horse was dominant in E1 and E2 with winning estimates of 59.4% and 45.5% and also had the highest COMP at 49%, yet the money line dismissed him at 15-1. In the race, Mustang Cat went wire to wire, holding off a late surge by the favorite #4 Keep Quiet at 7-5. Mustang Cat paid $22.00 for the win.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 