Day: September 3, 2020

There are times when a user may question the results of the Handicap Wizard, including this user, for one reason or another, yet time and time again the winning algorithm holds up. One such race was race 6 at Gulfstream today, a $12.5K claiming race at 6f for three-year-olds. The program’s first selection was #3 Captain Duke at 2-1 with a 22.7% total win probability, followed by #2 One Fast at 16-1 with a 16.95% win probability. On the face of the results of his simulated speed data, there was no reason to believe that One Fast had any chance in this race, who had 0% across the board. However, the horse was the winning-est in the field with a 41.9% WP adjusted for stakes and was coming off a 288 day layoff. In the race, One Fast broke quickest from the gate, with Captain Duke close behind in second. It stayed this way the whole race, as Captain Duke pulled off the big upset. The $2 exacta paid $153.60.

Here was a nice result today in the 1st at Saratoga, a $75K maiden race off the turf at 1 1/8 mi. for three-year olds and up. In a seven horse field that had five horses with similar odds between 9-5 and 3-1, the program’s first selection in #10 Lost in Rome at 3-1 under the reins of Luiz Saez went wire-to-wire. The horse was strong in all the metrics, including a 33.4% SPD winning estimate, a 57% COMP estimate and a 41.4% Winning Percentage adjusted for stakes. Lost in Rome paid $8.90. The other horse that received a FIT2 checkmark—Magic Mojo because of a 50% LP estimate—came in second.