By There are times when a user may question the results of the Handicap Wizard, including this user, for one reason or another, yet time and time again the winning algorithm holds up. One such race was race 6 at Gulfstream today, a $12.5K claiming race at 6f for three-year-olds. The program’s first selection was #3 Captain Duke at 2-1 with a 22.7% total win probability, followed by #2 One Fast at 16-1 with a 16.95% win probability. On the face of the results of his simulated speed data, there was no reason to believe that One Fast had any chance in this race, who had 0% across the board. However, the horse was the winning-est in the field with a 41.9% WP adjusted for stakes and was coming off a 288 day layoff. In the race, One Fast broke quickest from the gate, with Captain Duke close behind in second. It stayed this way the whole race, as Captain Duke pulled off the big upset. The $2 exacta paid $153.60.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 