By The program had a nice result in the 7th today a Churchill, a $62.5K optional claiming race at 1 1/16 mi. on the dirt for three-year-olds and up. Out of a twelve horse field, the top selection was #9 Aurelias Maximus at 4-1 versus a total win probability of 17.66%, putting it just below fair value. The horse had the highest SPD estimate from the simulation at 41.3%, but its WP% was low at 4.7%, meaning it had not won against the likes of this competition before. Still, the horse was coming into the race after a career best performance and did not disappoint in this race, winning it down the stretch. The program’s 3rd selection in #10 Bodexpress came in 2nd. Aurelias Maximus paid $10.00 and the $2 exacta paid $46.60. The program would have had the tri-fecta among its top three selections, if not for Mr. Quality at 45-1 coming in 3rd, whose WP% was only 2.1%.
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