Day: October 3, 2020

Like with the Kentucky Derby, the Handicap Wizard had the first and second place finishers in the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico with its top two selections. Getting big odds of 11-1, the fillie, #4 Swiss Skydiver, shocked the favorite, #9 Authentic at 3-2, down the stretch to win by half a length. As mentioned in the Preview, Swiss Skydiver had the highest COMP estimate at 37.3%, which was also the winning indicator in the Kentucky Derby for Authentic. #6 Jesus’ Team finished 3rd at 40-1. Swiss Skydiver paid $25.40 for the win, while the $2 exacta paid $75.60.

The Handicap Wizard Turf Program had a good result in the 9th race at Pimlico today—the $100K James W. Murphy Stakes—in having the exacta order correct with its top two selections. The odds favorite, #10 Don Juan Kitten, at 5-2 was the first selection with a total win probability of 18.12%, owing to a field high SPD win estimate of 36.2%. The second selection was #19 Bye Bye Melvin with a 12.3% win probability and 18.5% SPD estimate, who had the second lowest odds at 9-2. This is how the order went, with Don Juan Kitten holding off Bye Bye Melvin at the wire to win by a nose. The $2 exacta paid $36.40. #9 Monday Morning QB was a first-time starter on the turf at 10-1 and therefore had no turf data to evaluate.