By The Handicap Wizard Turf Program had a good result in the 9th race at Pimlico today—the $100K James W. Murphy Stakes—in having the exacta order correct with its top two selections. The odds favorite, #10 Don Juan Kitten, at 5-2 was the first selection with a total win probability of 18.12%, owing to a field high SPD win estimate of 36.2%. The second selection was #19 Bye Bye Melvin with a 12.3% win probability and 18.5% SPD estimate, who had the second lowest odds at 9-2. This is how the order went, with Don Juan Kitten holding off Bye Bye Melvin at the wire to win by a nose. The $2 exacta paid $36.40. #9 Monday Morning QB was a first-time starter on the turf at 10-1 and therefore had no turf data to evaluate.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 