By The Handicap Wizard did well today in the 4th at Parx, a $7.5K claiming race for three-year-olds at 5.5f, with its first selection, #7 Moe Trouble at 3-1. The program assigned it a winning probability of 39.26%, due largely to a 62% winning percentage, adjusted for stakes. The horse also was dominant in E1 and E2 according to the simulation with win estimates of 64.8% and 75.2%. Despite not performing well its last two starts, Moe Trouble had no trouble today in getting the win with a wire-to-wire performance. His jockey and trainer were best in the field with winning percentages of 21% and 19%. Moe Trouble was well undervalued at 3-1 and paid $8.60. This is exactly what you would like to see from a first selection.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 