Three-year-old and Kentucky Derby winner, Authentic at 4-1, was the winner of the $6 mil. Breeders Cup Classic at Keeneland on Saturday. The horse had the 2nd highest winning percentage, adjusted for stakes, after Maximum Security at 13.4% and was third highest according to COMP at 23.5%. Two of the three highest COMP horses in Authentic and Improbable at 7-2 finished first and second, while the mentioned long-shot in the preview, Global Campaign at 25-1, finished third. Taking a $0.50 tri-fecta box with the four horses that rated highest according to final speed in the simulation, which included Global Campaign, would have given you a winning ticket that paid $167.95 for a $12 wager. Finishing 5th, it appears that Maximum Security is no longer the horse he once was. He nor his trainer, Baffert, had any excuses in this race not to have done better.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 