By The Handicap Wizard turf program had a nice result yesterday in the 10th race at Belmont, the G1 Manhattan, Stakes, run at 1 1/4 mi. on the turf for four-year olds and up. The program’s second selection was #7 Tribhuvan (FR), who had a total win probability of 17.36%. The horse’s fair value was around 5-1 compared to final odds of 19. The horse projected dominantly in E1 and E2 with win estimates of 72.0% and 60.9%. Although the horse had a final speed estimate of only 1.7% due to having fallen out of form, the COMP value of 40.3% signaled about 6-5 strength for the horse on the component level in the aggregate according to the simulation. As the program predicted, Tribhuvan went to the lead and held on to win impressively by four lengths. The COMP was key because of the horse’s low risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 7.58%. The horse paid $40.20 for the win. This handicapper did have Tribhuvan to show.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 