Kentucky Turf Cup Stakes, Sat., Sept. 10

Here are the selections for today’s $1 mil. G2 Kentucky Turf Cup Stakes at Kentucky Downs, using the PHW Turf program. #8 Gufo appears a little rich on at 7/5 on the M/L compared to a 26.57% total win probability. The second selection, #12 Highest Honors, has value at 12-1 on the M/L versus a 15.28% win probability (equating to a fair value around 6-1) but is risky with a CV of 14%. Generally, anything above 10% indicates higher than average risk. The handicapper might also find value in #7 Admission Office at 10-1 on the M/L because of the 20.9% COMP value relative to a 8.7% CV. Admission Office was the winner of the G3 Arlington Stakes at 1 1/16 mi. at the beginning of June and put up a 110 fig. in his second to last race at Belmont in July.