By The Handicap Wizard had the winner with its first selection in #5 Venti Valentine in the $100K Bayridge Stakes at Aqueduct today, run at 1 mi. on the dirt for three-year filles and mares. With a total win probability of 33.12%, Venti Valentine was priced roughly at fair value at 2-1, while the favorite, #6 Let Her Inspire U, was at 4-5. This race came down to Venti-Valentine’s class (35.3% WP) versus Let Her Inspire U’s speed (51% SPD), with Venti Valentine rallying down the stretch to win on the mud at Aqueduct.
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