By Another positive result for the program today was in the 8th race at Aqueduct, a $28k claiming race at 1 mi. on the dirt for three-year files and mares, where the program had the correct order of the exacta. #11 Jerusalema was the first selection with a total win probability of 25% versus final odds of 4-1, which made her an overlay. The horse had the highest final speed projection at 37% after throwing out its last two anomalous final speed figures, which the program does automatically. The horse also had a high COMP value at 46%, signaling strength in its component speed figures in the aggregate. The second selection was #12 Raffinity at 8-5, who had a total win probability of 19.07%. In the race, Jerusalema stalked Raffinity from second position after the half mile before taking the lead coming out of the far turn. The horse went on to win by four lengths. Jerusalema paid $10 for the win.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 