By The Handicap Wizard had a good result today in the 8th race at Gulfstream, a $25K claiming race at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf for three-year olds. The program’s first selection was #3 Therapist with a total win probability of 20.50% versus final odds of 7-2. At that price, the horse was slight underlay when its fair value was 4-1. The favorite was #6 On Thin Ice at 5-2, who had no statistical support for those odds. Therapist tied with #12 Battle Scars for having the highest SPD win projection at 35%, although Therapist’s risk was lower with a Coefficient of Variance of 4.85%. In the race, Therapist broke to the lead after coming five wide out of the far turn and then surged down the stretch to win by three lengths. Therapist paid $9 for the win.
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