Day: February 11, 2023

Race 6 at Tampa, Sat., Feb. 11

The PHW Turf program had an excellent result today in the 6th race at Tampa, a $28K allowance race at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf for fillies and mares four-years-old and up. #6 Lenten Rose was the first selection with a total win probability of 26%, making the horse an overlay (3-1) relative to the M/L of 5-1. However, the horse went off at 12-1, representing a big opportunity. Lenten Rose projected best in E1 and E2 with 85.9% and 86.7% win estimates and most importantly in COMP at 66%! (3-5 equivalent fair value) win estimate, indicating the horse projected very favorably versus the field on a component level in the aggregate. Opportunities don’t often come like this, but with the Handicap Wizard you are on top of it. Lenten Rose paid $27 for the win.