The Handicap Wizard had a nice result today in the 7th race at Pimlico, an $8K claiming race at 6f on the dirt for three-year olds. The program had #3 Savoy as its first selection with a total winning probability of 26.08%, translating to a fair value of about 3-1. The horse settled at 8-1. The main reason the program favored the horse is because of its winning percentage of 37%, which put it at about 2-1 fair value. The horse was fairly risky with a Coefficient of Variance at 18.40%, which the handicapper should take into account. In the race, Savoy took the lead out of the far turn and held off a late charging #7 Rookie Salsa at the wire. Savoy paid $19.80 for the win. Even with a risky horse, the result attests to the soundness of the algorithm.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 