By Here is a truly excellent result by the PHW Grey program today at Monmouth in the 6th, a $12.5K claiming race on the dirt for three or four-year olds. The first two selections were #8 Dreaming of Smarty with a total win probability of 22.36% and #3 Kabod with a win probability of 21.85%. Kabod was being heavily discounted with final odds of 19-1 (versus approx. 4-1 fair value according to the program) while Dreaming of Smarty was about fairly valued at 4-1. With Kabod’s high COMP value of 62.3% (fair value less than 1-1), the horse took the early lead and held on to win by a length, fighting off a tough challenge by Dreaming of Smarty down the stretch. The $2 exacta paid $219.40. Wow!
Pro-Handicap Analytics 