By The program had an excellent result today in the Pennsylvania Derby at Parx, having the correct order of the exacta with its first two selections in #3 Saudi Crown and #2 Reincarnate. As discussed in the preview, Saudi Crown projected very strongly in this field and it seemed odd that #11 Reincarnate was the M/L favorite without the numbers backing him. Saudi Crown went off as the 1-1 favorite, which after conversion was very close to his total win probability of 42.62% (7-5 equivalent). The $2 exacta paid $28.60. The probability that the program had this exacta order correct was only about 7%.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 