Here are the projections for the Pegasus World Cup Invitational today at Gulfstream, run at 1 1/8 mi. on the dirt for four-year olds and up. The first selection is #7 National Treasure with a 22.00% total winning probability, who is the favorite on the M/L at 8/5. He is an underlay at the price (fair value is more towards 3-1). Second is #12 Skippylongstocking with a 17.7% win probability. At 8-1 on the M/L the horse offers value compared to its fair value of around 5-1. Third is #4 Hoist the Gold with a 15.5% total win probability compared to its M/L of 12-1. At 12-1 the horse would be at a significant discount in view of its SPD estimate of 30% and relatively low risk with a Coefficient of Variance of only 6.72%. Reinforcing their appeal, these three horses also have the highest COMP values at 31%, 24.7% and 21.21% respectively.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 