By Here are the projections for the G3 $250K Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream tomorrow, run at 1 1/16 mi. on the dirt for three-year olds. The first selection is #7 Fierceness, the winner of the BC Juvenile at Santa Anita as a two-year-old. The horse dominates in all metrics and has a total win probability of 61.01% percent, close to its M/L price of 3/5. On a final speed basis, the horse projects at a 62.3% win estimate, translating again very close to 3/5 on the M/L. That M/L doesn’t come out of thin air but captures the statistical projections of this race well for the favorite.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 