By Ahead of the Tampa Bay Derby tomorrow, the program had a good result with its first selection in the 2nd at Tampa today, a $8K claiming race at 1m 40y on the dirt for fillies and mares four-years old and up. The first selection was #2 Perfectly Golden with a total winning probability of 36.08%, converting to theoretical odds of 9-5 versus 5-2 on the M/L. The horse went off at exactly 9-5, showing there is some statistical intelligence to the pool after all. Perfectly Golden led most of the way before facing a mighty challenge from #1 Anotherdaygoneby, who was a long shot at 14-1 (16-1 in the model). Perfectly Golden held off the challenger just long enough to get the win. With such a close finish, the race illustrates how much horse racing involves chance when victory almost turns into defeat.
In the third, the program had another winner with its first selection in #4 Golden Juan at 3-1, who had theoretical odds of 2-1. Note the horse had a 95.6% COMP value, which is unheard of. This was an $8K claiming race for four-year-olds at 1m 40y on the dirt. Golden Juan was dominant in the win, leading most of the way and winning by three lengths over #3 Doinittherightway. To see the images in full-resolution, click on it and then on the encircled “i’ in the bottom right-hand corner. Then scroll down and click on the full-size link in the center.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 