By The program had another successful result at Tampa today, this time in a 7th, a $32K maiden claiming race run at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf. The Turf program had #1 Officer Derrick as its first selection with a total win probability of 31.91% (2-1 odds). Even though Officer Derrick did not project as well with the Grey version, which takes into account both dirt and turf data, the horse projected 1st with the Turf version, which processes only turf data. As it turns out, Officer Derrick had the highest final speed figure on turf of all the horses in the field. Besides having a high total win probability, Officer Derrick had a 39.7% final speed estimate (about 7-5 equivalent) and 100% values in E1, E2 and COMP. Only with the Turf version would you have detected the horse was so strong on turf against this field, showing its value in complementing the Grey version as a handicapping tool. Even though there was not a lot of data, the calculations were still correct in pointing to strength with Officer Derrick.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 