By After the scratch of Muth, the Handicap Wizard had a very good result in the Preakness, with its third and 1st selections of #6 Seize the Gray and #5 Mystik Dan finishing first and second. The program also had the superfecta horses with its first four selections in Seize the Gray, Mystik Dan, Catching Freedom and Tuscan Gold. The $2 exacta paid $119.40 and the $0.10 superfecta (2.40 superfecta box) paid $74.90. Seize the Gray’s speed could be seen in his high E1 and E2 values of 64.3% and 17.4%, where he took advantage of the muddy track to get out to a comfortable lead and went wire to wire. With the first value, the program was predicting with 3-5 odds confidence that Seize the Gray would be in the lead after the opening quarter mile and Imagination second, and that did happen. Seize the Gray’s final odds of 9-1 were close to the program’s theoretical odds for him of 8-1 while Mystik Dan’s final odds were the same as the program’s theoretical odds of 2-1.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 