By The Turf Program has done well today, this time in the 9th race at Pimlico, the $100K JW Murphy Stakes, run at 1 mi. on the turf for three-year olds. The program’s first two selections were #10 Abrumar and #12 Fulmineo. Abrumar was the class in the race with the highest win percentage at 33.6% while Fulmineo projected 1st in final speed with a 57.2% win estimate (4-5 equivalent) compared to final odds of 2-1. Fulmineo was the superior horse here based on his final speed projection and was priced at a discount on that basis. Giving confidence in the project was Fulmineo’s low risk with a Coefficient of Variance of only 6.2%. This race shows why the order ranking in the program must not always be taken literally with selections. The handicapper has to be able to use his judgment to step out of the box and evaluate the horses sometimes on an individual metric basis like SPD to be successful.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 