By The program had a good result today on the day before the Belmont Stakes in the 2nd race at Saratoga, a $62.5K optional claiming race at 1 1/4 on the dirt for three-year olds. As a fourth selection, Perform #8 had favorable metrics, including theoretical odds of 7-1 versus final odds of 18-1. The horse was being discounted in terms of final speed projections, win percentage and COMP with values of 14.8% (6-1 theoretical odds), 9.9% (9-1 theoretical odds) and 29.0% (3-1 theoretical odds), respectively. It’s strength in COMP with a 29.0% value indicated the horse had 3-1 strength on a speed component level in the aggregate while having average risk with a Coefficient of variance of 8.11%. In the race, Perform chased the favorite, #1 Arthur’s Ride, for most of the race but was able to hold on for place. The place paid $13.00. The race shows how value can be found using not only total win probability, but also the individual metrics, which COMP sticking out as relatively strong.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 