Thanks to a user pointing this race out, the Turf Program had a very nice result today in the 6th at Belmont at Aqueduct, a $62.5k optional claiming race at 1 3/16 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds and up. The first selection was #6 English Conqueror with a total win probability of 26.65%, translating into theoretical odds of 5-2. The horse went off at 11-1. In the race, #7 Beuys led for most of the race until English Conqueror found a lane in the center down the stretch and won a duel with Beuys by a nose. English Conqueror was a good choice in this situation because of his high SPD (40.3%), E1, E2 and COMP estimates along with having relatively low risk. The horse paid $24.60 for the win. The user that gave the tip on this race hit the exacta using the program that paid $132.60. To see the images in full-size, click on the image and then on the encircled “i” in the bottom right hand corner. Then scroll down and click on the full-resolution link in the center.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 