The $1 mil. Stephen Foster Stakes at Churchill saw an interesting result today, with the program’s third selection, #7 Kingsbarn at 9-1 (7-1 theoretical odds), getting the upset over #2 First Mission at 4-5 and #9 Skippylongstocking at 4-1. In the race, First Mission broke out to the lead and Skippylongstocking and Kingsbarn stalked from 2nd and 3rd positions. The order stayed this way until after the half mile point when #4 Disarm at 4-1 began to challenge the leaders on the inside. Then Kingsbarn swooped outside around the far turn and catapulted to the lead down the stretch past First Mission. #1 Pyrenees gained late down the middle of the track but ended up a length behind while Skippylongstocking trailed close to finish 3rd. With odds of 9-1 for Kingsbarn and 10-1 for #1 Pyrenees, the $1 exacta paid $85.82. As a third selection, Kingsbarn was an overlay at 9-1 compared to theoretical odds of 7-1, but it would have been taken shrewd handicapping to find Pyrenees too as the second selection. The horse did project strong late speed with a LP win estimate of 54.3% against the field.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 