The program had good results today at Parx, including having winners with its first selections in the 2nd #4 Pontiffany), 3rd (#3 Summersattheshore), 4th (#2 Cloudytimes), 7th (#4 Big Dreamer) and 10th races (#4 Teewinot Pass). The first four were “chalk” winners at 5-2 odds or less, but the horse that won in the 10th in #Teewinot Pass was 9-1 compared to theoretical odds of 7-2. This was one time where the horse’s risk actually worked in his favor rather than against him. Teewinot Pass had a SPD win estimate of 32.3% (about 2-1 equivalent) and also a COMP of 45.5%, indicating the horse had about 1-1 strength against the other horses in terms of their speed components in the aggregate. However, Teewinot Pass had a CV value of 20.99%, which is high, as well as a low win percentage of only 3.6%. In the race, the horse fortunately ran to his maximum potential and put away the favorite, #2 Mucho Macho Eddie at 8-5. For the Parx card, the program had winners with its first selection in five out of eight non-maiden races for $5.60, $4.60, $3.00, $5.40 and $20.00. Its ROI was 141% (($38.6-$16)/$16).
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Race 7
Pro-Handicap Analytics 