The Turf Program had the exacta order correct with its first two selections in the $500K Secretariat Stakes at Colonial Down in the 9th. Those selections were #9 Trikari at 6-1 and #1 Brilliant Berti at 3-5. The theoretical odds assigned to the horses by the program were 9-5 and 2-1 based on total win probabilities of 34.57% and 30.36%. Trikari took the lead coming out of the far turn to finish first while Brilliant Perti rallied late to take second. The $2 exa. paid $9.
The Turf Program had a stellar result in the 5th race at Gulfstream today, a $16K claiming race at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds. The first selection was #1 Kizzy at 12-1, who had a total winning probability of 25.51%, translating into theoretical odds of 3-1. The horse projected second in final speed with a 34.6% win estimate while having the third strongest win percentage at 18.6%. It worth nothing that he was in COMP with a value of 34.5% (2-1 equivalent strength in odds), indicating strength in the projections at the component level. In the race, Kizzy went wire to wire uncontested while the third selection, #7, Musical Romance finished 2nd. Kizzy paid $26.00 and the $1 exacta paid $47.80.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 