By The Grey Program had another good result in the 8th at Saratoga, a $35K claiming race at 1 1/8 mi. on the dirt for three- and four-year olds. The first selection was #7 Game Warden at 5-1 with a total win probability of 33.09%, translating to theoretical odds of just under 2-1. The horse projected first in final speed with a 63.9% win estimate (3-5 strength in odds) and first in LP with a 65.4% along with having average risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 7.72%. In the race, Game Warden ran down #6 Rocketeer down the stretch, who had been leading early on. Game Warden showed his superior late kick as indicated in the high LP projection. The horse paid $12.60 for the win.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 