With the Breeders Cup going on concurrently, the Turf Program had a nice result in the 4th race at Gulftream, a $60K maiden claiming race at 1 1/6 off the turf for three-year-olds. The first selection was #10 Siciliano with a total win probability of 20.78%, translating into theoretical odds of 7-2. The horse went off at 8-1. In the race, Siciliano, with its 100% LP win estimate, came up late at the wire. The horse paid $19.20 for the win.
The program had a number of good results today on the first day of the Breeders Cup at Del Mar. In the 4th race (the $200K After Alliance Stakes at 1 mi. on the turf) and with a fourteen horse field, the Turf Program had the winner with its first selection in #10 Chasing Liberty at 6-1. The horse had a total win probability of 16.3%, translating into theoretical odds of 5-1. Chasing Liberty had the highest win percentage, adjusted for stakes, at 22.8% (4-1 equivalent). Chasing Liberty paid $15.60 for the win.
In the 9th race, the $2 mil. Breeders Cup Juvenile (1 1/6 mi. on the dirt) the Grey program had the order of the exacta with its first two selections in reverse. The second selection, #6 Citizen Bull at 15-1, came in first and the 1st selection, #7 Gaming at 6-1, came in second. The $2 exacta paid $142.20.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 